Today our website was upgraded to the current versions of all of the platforms, plug-ins and widgets that make this beast growl.

If anyone encounters any problems please email me the specifics of your problem so we can jump on any and all glitches that will almost certainly appear.

Coach BD

Well………………….

I am happy to finally be able to report…

The Trade Coach is back at work full-time for the first time since October.  For those of you who use our Private Trade Execution Services, you all know that Coach BD has been busy taking good care of all of your portfolios and we can report that RMBS, SNDK, AAPL, ESRX & The VIX were all MONSTER trades for 2009, with SNDK, AAPL & ESRX needing close to no adjustments or action for most of the year.

That was simply because these trades were carried over from 2008 and all were either already profitable or close to zero carry trades, through very effective hedging in 2008.  This gave us the luxury of simply holding them through this past year, risk free.  The ultimate, and perfect trade scenario.

For some of you who got in early w/us on TSRA, that was another very good result, though if you waited for either of the add-ons to open your initial position, you are probably near breakeven (BE) or even down 10 – 20% on that trade… BUT fear not, for those of you who are holding TSRA we will be trading this position for Income over the next few months waiting for the HUGE potential move in RMBS to drag TSRA along.

Finally, we made very big returns on the VIX early in the year and then SOLD ATM premium against our Long OCT Calls through JULY, when we exited, leaving us with another year of very big gains using the VIX, though unlike 2008, when high volatility reigned, 2009 was a hedge against our hedge trade as we sold 5 straight months of ATM Premium, collected it ALL, and then sold our core OCT Calls for just $1.00 under our Cost Basis @ JULY Expiration.

So, where does that leave us…

We will be exiting AAPL & ESRX @ JAN Expiration.  We SOLD ATM & near OTM Premium against these for JAN because we thought these runs may be coming to an end, and we wanted to hold these into this year so we won’t have any tax reporting, or tax paying, until next year (2011)…  SWEET…!!!  SNDK will fall into that same boat though we intend to roll out our JAN Expiring Calls that we have held since 2008, and we will be trading those out for JAN 2012’s.

For those who remember our past discussions, SNDK has been one of our favorite LT Trades almost every year because of the huge runs this stock routinely makes in both directions.  We feel that this upside run in SNDK may continue through this whole year as SNDK has reestablished itself as the Gorilla in its market.  Since JAN 2006, SNDK has been making a nice LT cup formation from its highs near $80, and now that we have a new, strong uptrend building the right side of the LT Cup, $80 may be in play once again over the next year or two (thru 2011).

We’ll address our outlook for RMBS and TSRA in a separate post because there is just so much to talk about with RMBS… (so what else is new)… BOTTOM LINE… Hang onto RMBS, and TSRA, for now cuz the storm is comin.  This strong move we’ve made from the NOV 2008 lows near $5 to where we are now, near $23.50 will seem like a blip on the chart if Samsung rolls over and settles with RMBS prior to the AT Trial scheduled to start next week.  If that happens, or if anyone else jumps in to settle ahead of Samsung, we could easily see $60, perhaps even $80 – $100 before the year is out.

YEEEEEEEEEEEHAAAAAAAAAAAAA…………….!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

It really could be the MONSTER GORILLA trade of the decade, if not the Century, should the dominos start to fall.  Once they start falling there’s no telling how high RMBS may go.  We believe that RMBS is perhaps a $10 – $25 BILLION dollar company in market cap, especially if settlements and licenses start rolling in this year, as we expect they will… so that’s anywhere from 5 – 10x its current price.  YIKES…!!!  The estimates are truly mind-boggling.  We’ll be happy with $60, but $80 – $125 is certainly in the ballpark, just for this year…!!!

BUT, then again… its still RMBS… So anything can, AND WILL, happen.  We’ll talk more about the outlook tomorrow along with our strategy.

Everyone have a great evening.  It is so very good to be writing once again.

Coach BD   

Hello everyone from the Money Show in Las Vegas…

If any of you are in attendance for this annual event, Please give me a call or drop me an email.  Two of our Member/Clients have joined us this year and are attending some of the more valuable educational sessions.

We also attend some of the blatant marketing B.S. sessions.  It all makes for good dinner conversation and hopefully a balanced learning experience.

If any of you have an interest in attending any of the Money Shows or Traders Expo’s please let me know.  This is one of the most rewarding aspects of our service… getting to know many of you and spending some time picking apart all of the hype out there from the good stuff.

Coach BD

New Credit Card Scam

Apparently there is a new scam out there that everyone should be aware of.  See below…

Coach BD

continue reading "Alert – New Credit Card Scam"

Cramer is actually doing a show on something really important and one of our primary goals with The Trade Coach Investing and Trading Educational Service.

How NOT to lose money and playing defense.  The first thing all professionals evaluate first.

Coach BD

continue reading "Alert – Cramer"

Over the next few days we will be editing all of the Grids and re-posting all of the Public posts back into the Private areas now that the upgrades are now complete and everything seems to be working again.

Coach BD

Now that all of the upgrades have been completed and all of our Members can now access all of the Private content we will be moving most of the recent Public posts back to the Private Members areas.

If anyone has any questions or concerns please click the “Contact Us” and send us email.

Coach BD

Everyone should be able to login to the website once again…

We did a random test of several Member logins and all were successful.  Please let us know ASAP if you still are unable to login.

We will leave all new content in the Public area until we can confirm that everyone is able to login.  We are very sorry for this inconvenience. 

Thanks for your collective patience.

Coach BD  

Things are looking pretty ugly…

Today was the biggest volume day since 3/20, and that was an UP day.  The DOW is now within ~100 points of the MAR low, and ~200 points of the JAN low.  The NAZ is still holding up pretty well considering the action in the larger market.

It wouldn’t surprise us if we were to get a bit of a rebound rally next week.  We ended the week by tightening our hedges Selling closer to the money Calls, and by purchasing more downside protection with additional Put and/or Put Spreads.

We will update the Position Grids over the weekend and are now going to start concentrating on evaluating oversold, solid, dividend paying stocks that may be getting hammered in this current environment.  This is exactly the time that we look to add to our Long Stock holdings…  That is, when everything regardless of performance is selling off.

Everyone have a great weekend.  I will be working a bit this weekend so if anyone would like to chat or has questions please give me a call or drop me a note.

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We are also near the end of our patience with our current Membership engine and their inability to fix the login issue with our Members, though they have assured us that it will be fixed very soon.  Until it is, we will continue publishing all of our posts to the Public area for all to view.

Coach BD   

We are in the process of rolling out all of our various hedges on our LT positions.

If you have specific questions, please drop me an email or ping me on the IM widget.  When using IM, please replace the “guest number” in the “Edit Nickname” box with your user name so I know who you are.

I have not heard yet from the cyber-mechanics regarding the login problem so I assume they haven’t yet figured it out.  If anyone IS able to log in please send us a note.

Until this issue is fully addressed and corrected to our satisfaction, we will continue publishing all of our posts for Public view.  If any Members need access to anything that is not currently available please let us know and we will give you specific access to that content you can’t see right now.

Coach BD